crtypto & forex news

Chinese mining figure Jiang Zhuoer has reportedly issued a bearish cycle forecast for Bitcoin, arguing that BTC may not find its final bear-market bottom until late 2026 in the $42,000 to $44,000 range. TL;DR Jiang Zhuoer reportedly expects Bitcoin to bottom between $42,000 and $44,000. The forecast places the potential bottom between October and December 2026. His analysis reportedly uses Strategy’s mNAV and prior cycle timing as part of the framework. A Miner’s Bear-Market Framework Jiang Zhuoer is not making a short-term trading call in the usual sense. The forecast is a cycle view, reportedly based on a combination of market valuation, miner-cycle experience, and Strategy’s Bitcoin -linked market premium. He argues that BTC may still need several months before reaching a final bear-market low. The projected $42,000 to $44,000 zone would imply further downside from current levels and would likely require continued weakness in risk assets, institutional flows...

Curaçao regulators have reportedly issued their first detailed crypto rulebook for licensed online gambling operators, setting out wallet-screening requirements and a full ban on privacy mixers by 2027. TL;DR Curaçao has reportedly published crypto compliance rules for licensed online gambling operators. The rules require wallet screening, transaction tracing, and controls around illicit finance risk. A full mixer ban is expected by 2027, which could affect crypto-native gambling platforms. A Compliance Shift For Crypto Gambling Curaçao is a major jurisdiction for online gambling operators, which makes its crypto guidance more important than it might first appear. If licensed casinos are required to screen wallets and trace transactions, operators will need stronger blockchain analytics processes and stricter customer-risk controls. The reported rules reflect a wider global trend. Regulators are increasingly willing to let crypto payments exist inside license...

CoinGecko research says most Pump.fun tokens fail quickly, underlining the extreme risk profile behind Solana’s memecoin launch culture. TL;DR CoinGecko says a large share of Pump.fun tokens fail within the first day. The data gives traders a harder look at launchpad survival rates. The findings add context to the current wave of memecoin crashes and liquidity wipeouts. CoinGecko Puts Numbers On Memecoin Risk CoinGecko research has put a hard number on one of crypto’s most obvious but often ignored risks: most memecoin launches do not survive for long. The research focused on Pump.fun, the Solana-linked launch platform that became a symbol of the latest memecoin cycle, and found that a large share of tokens fail within 24 hours. The exact statistic is useful because it moves the debate beyond anecdotes. Traders know that most newly launched memecoins are risky, but a launch-day failure rate near seven in ten changes the way risk should be framed. It suggests th...

Baillie Gifford’s reported tokenized bond fund plans add another traditional asset manager to the race to bring regulated funds onto public blockchain rails. TL;DR Baillie Gifford is being linked to a regulated tokenized bond fund using public blockchain rails. The structure reportedly involves Solana, Ethereum and BNY custody support. The story reinforces tokenized funds as one of crypto’s strongest institutional themes. Another Traditional Manager Enters Tokenization Baillie Gifford is being linked to a regulated tokenized bond fund using public blockchain infrastructure, adding another major traditional asset manager to the real-world asset race. The reported structure involves public rails such as Solana and Ethereum , with institutional custody support from BNY. The story is important because tokenized funds have become one of the clearest areas where traditional finance and crypto infrastructure overlap. Unlike speculative token launches, tokenized bond...

TL;DR 21Shares says Bitcoin remains under pressure but still has a path back toward the $100,000 area in a recovery scenario. The firm points to ETF flows, cycle structure and liquidity conditions as key variables. The bull case depends on Bitcoin defending structural support and rebuilding momentum after the sell-off. 21Shares Keeps The Recovery Case Alive Bitcoin’s recent sell-off has damaged sentiment, but 21Shares argues that the market still has a path toward recovery if key structural supports hold. In a research note titled “Bitcoin under pressure: hold or fold?”, the asset manager outlined the pressure facing BTC while also keeping a higher-price recovery scenario on the table. The note is useful because it does not simply repeat a bullish target without context. It frames Bitcoin’s weakness around ETF outflows, geopolitical pressure, liquidations and broader risk-off conditions. That makes the recovery argument more measured: BTC can still rebound, but on...

TL;DR Crypto markets are heading into a macro-heavy stretch with PCE inflation and labor data due soon. Bitcoin and Ether remain sensitive to rate expectations, dollar strength and risk-asset positioning. The setup matters because recent sell-offs have already left leverage and sentiment fragile. Macro Risk Moves Back To The Front Bitcoin traders are moving into another macro-heavy window, with inflation and labor-market data set to test a market already weakened by recent liquidations . Kraken’s June 24 economic brief highlighted the upcoming PCE inflation release and jobs-related data as key events for crypto traders, particularly for dollar-sensitive pairs such as BTC/USD and ETH/USD. The reason is simple: crypto liquidity still reacts strongly to expectations around Federal Reserve policy. When traders believe rates will stay high for longer, capital tends to move away from speculative assets. When inflation cools and rate-cut expectations improve, Bitcoin , E...

TL;DR THORChain trading has resumed after a lengthy halt linked to a $10.7 million exploit. The restart brings swaps and liquidity actions back online, but confidence now depends on post-incident execution. RUNE traders are watching whether activity returns without another security setback. THORChain Comes Back Online THORChain is back in focus after trading activity resumed following a multi-week halt tied to a reported $10.7 million exploit. The restart is a major moment for the cross-chain liquidity protocol because the real test after any DeFi security incident is not just whether developers can patch the issue. It is whether users and liquidity providers trust the system enough to return. The protocol’s role is straightforward but risky: THORChain lets users swap assets across chains without relying on wrapped-token bridges in the usual sense. That design has always made it one of the more ambitious liquidity networks in DeFi, but it also means security assu...